Russia-Ukraine War and Global Food Security

The CSIS Global Food and Water Security Program examines immediate and long-term impacts of Russia’s war in Ukraine on global food security, and proposes steps for rebuilding Ukraine’s agriculture sector.

Russia’s war in Ukraine has reduced global supplies of food, fertilizers, and fuel, increasing food and fertilizer prices worldwide and threatening food security for countries who rely on the Black Sea for their imports.  The CSIS Global Food Security Program examines immediate and long-term impacts of Russia’s war in Ukraine on global food security, and proposes steps for rebuilding Ukraine’s agriculture sector. This webpage houses original analysis, events, and podcast episodes on these topics.

Breaking Down Russia’s War on Ukraine’s Water

Photo: Fabio Murgia/CSIS, Getty Images

Photo: Fabio Murgia/CSIS, Getty Images

Russia-Ukraine War in 10 Charts

Four years after Russia’s full-scale invasion, the war in Ukraine has reshaped European security, global markets, and the balance of power. These 10 charts break down the battlefield, economic strain, military aid shifts, reconstruction costs, and what comes next.

Commentary by CSIS Scholars — February 24, 2026

All Russia-Ukraine War and Global Food Security Content

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The Russia-Ukraine War and Global Food Security: Impacts Four Years Later

Russia’s war in Ukraine caused immediate and widespread disruptions to Ukraine’s agriculture sector and global food markets. Today, new patterns are emerging, affecting Ukraine’s agricultural recovery and Russia’s ability to use its food exports for political benefit.

Critical Questions by CSIS Scholars — February 24, 2026

Does Ukraine Need a New Black Sea Grain Initiative?

Nascent agreements over safety of navigation on the Black Sea indicate Russia’s desire to restart the Black Sea Grain Initiative, but Ukraine has already secured—and increased—its agricultural exports without Russia’s cooperation. 

Analysis by Emma Curtis, Joseph Glauber, and Caitlin Welsh — March 28, 2025

Ukraine's Decreased Grain Production Creates Opportunities for Russia

Russia’s assault on Ukraine’s agriculture sector precipitated a substantial decrease in Ukraine’s harvested land area. While the sector is adapting, reduced farming and export capacity in Ukraine has realigned global agricultural trade in Russia’s favor.

Analysis by Caitlin Welsh and Emma Curtis — February 11, 2025

Farming Frontlines: How Food and Agriculture Will Impact Negotiations in Ukraine

Russia’s recent attacks on Ukraine’s grain infrastructure and foreign-flagged grain-carrying vessels reflect a broader strategy for geopolitical and economic gains at the expense of global food security. CSIS experts discuss how this could shape peace negotiations.

Commentary by Caitlin Welsh and Emma Curtis — December 17, 2024

Demining Ukraine’s Farmland: Progress, Adaptation, and Needs

Landmine contamination across Ukraine’s farmland remains a complex and pervasive challenge despite significant progress. What else is needed to restore Ukraine’s farmland, and why should it remain a priority for the United States and Ukraine’s allies?

Critical Questions by Emma Curtis and Caitlin Welsh — December 5, 2024

Russia’s Renewed Attacks on Ukraine’s Grain Infrastructure: Why Now? What Next?

Russia’s latest attacks on Ukraine’s grain infrastructure and foreign cargo vessels are the most severe since 2023. CSIS experts analyze the timing, predict future incidents, and emphasize the urgent need for stronger maritime defense to safeguard Ukraine’s grain exports.

Critical Questions by Caitlin Welsh, Joseph Glauber, and Emma Curtis — November 25, 2024